Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 107.215958 122.633246 140.322160 162.307832 189.166586 221.261023 2.630501e+02
2025-04-13 85.025272 104.120524 128.212224 161.526582 207.545235 270.710655 3.674671e+02
2025-04-20 75.093347 96.475312 125.358114 168.637164 234.537622 336.196616 5.166840e+02
2025-04-27 69.769802 93.248971 126.834425 180.803187 270.588720 425.499164 7.456816e+02
2025-05-04 62.444030 85.787315 120.557832 179.345925 283.904282 480.985422 9.441130e+02
2025-05-11 57.383790 80.794949 116.963672 181.056937 302.532506 552.477557 1.224942e+03
2025-05-18 52.405887 75.228702 111.529161 178.359644 311.927086 608.446632 1.512113e+03
2025-05-25 49.087400 71.834729 109.086517 180.397447 331.068275 694.332225 1.973015e+03
2025-06-01 45.777336 68.067254 105.470310 179.483717 343.613232 769.885886 2.493622e+03
2025-06-08 42.622511 64.230119 101.242858 176.596212 350.926460 835.202745 3.073432e+03
2025-06-15 41.129828 63.038069 101.563119 182.932746 382.026051 988.539389 4.404502e+03
2025-06-22 38.066530 58.858119 95.924467 175.753367 377.079147 1022.810524 5.118159e+03
2025-06-29 36.017815 56.495409 93.833599 176.895257 397.391823 1171.266675 7.314776e+03
2025-07-06 33.918140 53.887629 91.043706 176.177290 413.237339 1321.253731 1.050599e+04
2025-07-13 32.932202 53.198371 91.918059 184.186347 458.420933 1648.821559 1.961787e+04
2025-07-20 32.519794 53.517557 94.851157 197.899794 528.848791 2212.225176 5.022453e+04
2025-07-27 30.810016 51.207267 92.006310 196.255365 545.897688 2499.541152 9.253707e+04
2025-08-03 29.547817 49.653899 90.599059 198.186331 577.646669 2954.526563 2.352649e+05
2025-08-10 28.027832 47.472228 87.583871 195.142658 588.916496 3284.054791 5.864104e+05
2025-08-17 27.016716 46.224613 86.512762 197.441976 624.195495 3929.267729 4.274836e+06
2025-08-24 25.863854 44.603664 84.427511 196.410852 644.909974 4505.295138 3.169186e+08
2025-08-31 24.661736 42.799622 81.749867 193.153805 654.316637 5000.022162 NaN
2025-09-07 24.175366 42.434892 82.396368 200.304148 719.495381 6576.317435 NaN